Author Topic: Australia : U21-U23-Abs  (Read 21758 times)

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #30 on: April 03, 2014, 03:32:14 pm »
Quote
Dan Sheehan  Age 19
Stamina   33   Sprint   53
Climbing   4   Flat   67
Cobblestone   9   Technique   20
Downhill   52   Hills   67
Aggressiveness   74
   Time Trial   27
Teamwork   46   Experience   1
He mayn't look it at first glance, but I'm hoping his talent is high, because with the right training, he could be better than both Finley & Lungby (and you're seen me praise Lungby).  Of course Finley is 4 talent, and I suspect Lungby's 5, so it's a matter of waiting to see.

My only disappointment?  He didn't arrive last season, because I'm not going to be able to train him all the way through to at least 23+.  Now that's a worthy  :'(

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #31 on: May 01, 2014, 01:19:19 pm »
I donít normally do a singular race analysis, but there were several queries about my last raceís selections, so itíll be a good time to show you how I make the selections for the u23 squad.

Ok, last race, I had worked out the ranking of cyclists were as follows.
Quote
Rank   Skill Score   Name   Age   Team
1   72.46   Alex Simpson   22   Mtbikers
2   71.13   Noel Emme   22   RealityCyclists
3   69.67   Dudley Lungby   22   CandasuTeam
4   69.59   Frank Pinkney   22   Aurora_Australis
5   69.50   Ashley Friend   22   RealityCyclists

6   66.63   Merv Smith   22   milanezen
7   66.20   Ike Gatson   22   Insuperable
8   63.70   Aaron Friend   21   olivosteam
9   63.50   Patrick McClure   22   Lofoten
10   62.83   Rick Green   21   PototaTeam

15   60.23   Aaron Harris   20   Magpies
18   59.32   Greg Logsdon   20   Aurora_Australis
19   59.28   Earl Coburn   21   AusAsoA
21   58.47   Allen Furey   20   Aurora_Australis
22   58.33   Dominic Friend   20   Canyon_Team
23   58.21   Oliver Lee   20   santacrocese
25   56.72   Gerard Jackson   20   FullGas
26   56.69   Gordon Friend   20   voktorense
27   56.58   Walt Andrews   20   sate
28   56.57   Larry King   20   OY3
31   55.81   Kendall Kennedy   19   Aurora_Australis
33   55.78   Hank Duncan   20   Aurora_Australis
34   55.54   Nick King   20   OY3
37   55.49   Dudley Butcher   19   ElvinhaDF
40   55.17   Vinnie Fagan   20   voktorense
41   55.00   Nate Huling   20   RandoTeamRevenge
42   54.71   Ian Douglas   19   RaboRuben
Simpson was obviously team leader.
There are only two purposes of a 22 year old.  Either be team leader, or be an effective domestique.  By my calculations, there were 4 cyclists capable of providing domestique support, so they were selected.

This left 4 open positions.
Open positions are typically filled by those younger cyclists who rank reasonably for the race in question, and have a potential to be team leader in future seasons.

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #32 on: May 01, 2014, 01:21:27 pm »
But first, here are things which prevents a younger cyclist from being selected.

Disqualifiers:
Inactive: Besides being 22, Gatson is in an inactive team, so this is an automatically non-inclusion.
Not leaders: The 21 year olds, Friend & Green.  Looking at these two hillers, neither are likely to be team leaders next season, and will probably be domestiques to 20 year old Furey.  So they werenít selected.
Bad training: Harris was first on the list for 20 year olds.  Unfortunately, I could tell instantly that he isnít being trained correctly, so he was automatically out of consideration.
Training???: 20 year old Jackson was considered.  But I canít even work out what training heís subject to, so I couldnít select him.
Bad Aggression: I forgot.  There was also a cyclist who had aggression of 17 (?).  In hillers (& sprinters), this is a death sentence.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2014, 10:06:28 pm by Aurora_Australis »

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #33 on: May 01, 2014, 01:24:23 pm »
Now back to the final 4 selections from last race.

After the first 5 selections (and discounting the 21 year olds), I had a look at the 20 year olds.

When I first made my calculations, Furey was next (after Harris).  Team leader in hills next season (probably bronze hills by race 40), made him my 6th selection.
Dominic Friend was next.  He currently doesnít match Furey, but I like his potential, and Iím hopeful he can progress well.  He was actually my 8th selection

My 7th selection was a 19 year old.  Top 19 year old hiller, correct training, 5 talent, absolutely future team leader and future possible div1 cyclist, Kennedy ticks every single box for inclusion.

This left 1 spot available.

Next possible was my Logsdon.  87 (now 88) in hills, 91 hills by end of season, good cyclist being trained right, honestly, if he wasnít in my team, I might have selected him.
Of course, if Logsdon was considered, then Duncan also had a valid claim. But I chose against them both.

This left my in two minds.  What if my analysis of the race was wrong?  If so, would Merv Smith be of importance?
Then, there were many other younger options.
I decided on a younger option, because I didnít believe I could be so far out where Smith could be a potential race changing domestique for Simpson.

Younger cyclists with worthwhile claims included Dudley Butcher, Ian Douglas, Vinnie Fagan, & Earl Coburn, all potential leaders of more cobble intense races.  But in the end I selected Nate Huling.


It turned out that my analysis of the race was significantly wrong, but thankfully Simpson was the correct team leader, and my Pinkley managed to provide domestique support for three sections.

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #34 on: May 01, 2014, 01:26:11 pm »
Now the upcoming race is a problem for the u23 squad.  Thereís nobody with any chance for points, and in fact, thereís only 2 (?) sprinters in the entire u23 ranks (this is in total).

This means 7 (?) spots free.  In this case, the remainder will be the best <=21 prospects divided between the other race types.  Kendall Kennedy, Ned Jameson, & Marc Overall are almost certainties, with Barret Wolf, Cameron Dowden, Nate Huling, Vinnie Fagan, & Allen Furey among those fighting for the remaining 3-4 spots.


I hope this gives you an idea of how I make my selections for the u23 team.

Dirk

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #35 on: May 05, 2014, 09:14:56 pm »
Hi Aurora

I find your posts on the Aussie National team quite interesting and to see how you pick the squad.
I see the results were not so good last race but you said you don't expect much.
The U21 team did quite good and I saw that a few cyclists you used were also in that team, but it was cobblestone.

The u23 race profile looked quite hilly, but I guess Sprint was the main skill for the race and hills / Flat about equal there-after.

What was the lowest ranking rider for that race?

I predict Nate Hulling also featuring in your next race  :)

D

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #36 on: May 06, 2014, 08:38:53 am »
The U21 team did quite good and I saw that a few cyclists you used were also in that team, but it was cobblestone.
What was the lowest ranking rider for that race?
Nobby Walker was our only real sprinter last race.  Australia simply doesn't have sprinters.
Cameron Dowden was his 1st domestique, but he's intelligently being trained for cobbles, not sprint.
The others were, 1 hiller, 1TTer, 3 climbers , plus another 2 cobblers.  So, they weren't ranked for sprint at all.

The u23 race profile looked quite hilly, but I guess Sprint was the main skill for the race and hills / Flat about equal there-after.
It would be a decent guess.

I predict Nate Hulling also featuring in your next race  :)
The three 20 year old cobblers who were in the last sprint race will also be in next race (Dowden, Huling, Fagan).  They'll be lucky to get a top 70, because they'll be competing against 22 year olds.  The u23 team won't get points because the two 22 year old cobblers simply don't have the same quality.  Hopefully there's an u23 cobb-hills NT race in 2 seasons time.

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #37 on: May 07, 2014, 07:44:42 pm »
Experience for Hulling! Well! Hulling crack ;D

Dirk

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #38 on: May 15, 2014, 07:01:52 pm »
I have been trying to find some Australian Talent but not much luck so far.
The best three Australian youngsters are:
Fergus Kewell (Climber) - Age 19
Olie Reid (Sprinter) - Age 20 ; Not high hopes for him as the aggression is too low.
Freddie Garza - (Climber) - Age 21; Not too good for a 21 yr old but still better than Fergus.

My aim is to draft an Australian sprinter at the end of the season!
Wish me luck ;)

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #39 on: May 15, 2014, 11:25:06 pm »
There's not a lot of quality on the transfer list at the moment full stop.

So you're looking to specialise in sprints?  Well, for once there's a few potentially cool Aussie sprinters in the draft, so you have every chance of finding a sprinter to go straight into the u23 NT team.  Best fortunes for finding the the best of these.

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #40 on: May 16, 2014, 03:53:11 pm »
Hi

Yes, I have taken an interest in sprinters as my current focus. I have a couple of other young sprinters from different Nationalities also and will how they develop in the coming years They are:
Phillip Wilson - 19 - USA
Tariel Zinikov - 19 - Ukraina

But I hope to find an Australian Sprinter better than the above two Sprinters in the next draft :)


Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #41 on: May 20, 2014, 11:55:01 am »
Mt Gambier may be known for its blue lake, but it also has many other features, including caves, sink-hole gardens, wineries, and extensive cycling routes.
Why not choose Australia and Mt Gambier as the location for your u23 future sprint-hill stars.


Blue Lake : Mt Gambier - South Australia (not digitally altered - see aerial shots)

Season 16
U23 Point Scorers

The following cyclists scored points for the Aussie u23 team in season 16.

Name   Age   Team   Points
Dean Huling      22    alonsoteam      200
Bill Warrenburg      22    NazcaCyclingTeam   200
Ashley Friend      22    RealityCyclists   150
Alex Simpson      22    Mtbikers      150
Wendell Jameson      22    NazcaCyclingTeam   140
Andy Ashley      22    AYRLULLO      120
Jake Acree      22    Valhalla50      110
Patrick McClure      22    Lofoten      60

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #42 on: May 22, 2014, 10:11:58 am »
Aerial shot of Mt Gambier's Blue Lake, next to its sister lake.

(not digitally altered)

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #43 on: May 24, 2014, 12:03:06 am »
This may not seem fantastic by many NT standards, but letís put it into context.  In the nine seasons from season 7, Australian NT teams have finished last 11 times, and 2nd last another 2 times.  In season 16, weíve broken this run of wooden spoons.  Cheers to managers RichiePorte & Sacido (& also to Antequera for his efforts in previous seasons), and may we have continued success in future seasons.
« Last Edit: May 31, 2014, 11:43:51 pm by Aurora_Australis »

Aurora_Australis

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Re: Australia [New Holland (1644-1824)] : U21-U23-Abs
« Reply #44 on: May 29, 2014, 05:21:29 am »
I'd like to thank all those managers who've taken an interest in the Aussie team; and also to Oska for bringing us this cool game.

Below, I've detailed Australia's prospects for the upcoming season.
U23 NT Manager : Aurora Australis.

U23 Main Squad (season 17)
   SPRINTERS:
Team Prospects:
   Team Depth:   
                                       
   Rank      Skill Score      Name      Age      Team   
   1      64.29      Will Bell      21      trekteam   
   2      62.67      Nobby Walker      20      Patatůn   
   7      57.98      Robbie Ferdinand      20      boertjies   
   11      55.55      Cameron Alpin      19      Animal   
   12      55.40      Benjamin Omole      19      boertjies   

Two more seasons until Australia becomes competitive.  Lots of vacancies open for fresh 19 year olds.


   CLIMBERS:
Team Prospects:
   Team Depth:   
                                       
   Rank      Skill Score      Name      Age      Team   
   1      75.22      Ned Jameson      22      JM   
   2      74.32      Carl Marbley      22      RichiePorte   
   3      73.13      Marc Overall      21      bestiesnegres   
   4      73.02      Aaron Gailes      22      Sevici   
   5      71.66      Rick Malone      21      Stracham   
   6      70.54      Christian Griffin      21      PupoTeamArg   (-1 health per race)
   10      65.49      Franklin Brubaker      20      Stracham   
   15      62.76      Kobe Finals      20      RichiePorte   
   19      62.33      Cody Goodman      19      Freedom    (Triomfator -2 health per race :( )
   39      56.08      Devin Emme      19      Antequera   
   42      55.28      Sammy Martin      19      SDM   

We have a decent squad for this season and the next.  Will want lots of points from these guys.  For seasons 19 & 20, Brubaker & Goodman is in decent teams (so they should be trained correctly), but could use one or two more quality younger cyclists to run with them.


   COBBLERS:
Team Prospects:
   Team Depth:   
                                       
   Rank      Skill Score      Name      Age      Team   
   1      69.16      Cameron Dowden      21      dagobo   
   2      66.47      Earl Coburn      22      AusAsoA   
   3      64.26      Vinnie Fagan      21      voktorense   
   4      63.36      Nate Huling      21      RandoTeamRevenge   
   5      61.61      Ian Taylor      21      Bestemmiatori   
   6      60.56      Kendall Milne      20      marquina   
   7      60.50      Ryan Rooney      20      The_Fucking_Masters   
   8      60.34      Herbie Crickton      20      AusAsoA   

A case of wait until next season, and hope Dowden gets a chance.  Still, maybe the 21 year old can steal a few points this season.  Most of the others are actually cobb-hillers, so plenty of available opportunities for your cyclist to be team leader once Dowden gets too old.


   HILLERS:
Team Prospects:
   Team Depth:   
                                       
   Rank      Skill Score      Name      Age      Team   
   1      70.38      Allen Furey      21      Aurora_Australis   
   2      69.60      Bobby Friend      22      ProBox   
   3      68.92      Aaron Friend      22      Quiwis   (-1 health per race)
   4      68.56      Dominic Friend      21      Canyon_Team   
   5      68.38      Hank Duncan      21      Aurora_Australis   
   7      66.69      Greg Logsdon      21      Aurora_Australis   
   8      66.10      Aaron Harris      21      Magpies   
   11      62.58      Dan Sheehan      20      Aurora_Australis   
   13      62.35      Kendall Kennedy      20      Aurora_Australis   
   15      60.34      Ian Paxton      20      Ubisoft   
   33      55.53      Daley Green      19      Primitivos   
   48      52.66      Bob Owens      19      Quiwis   
   56      51.58      Sean Janson      19      JezchatCosmos   

Relying on a 21 year old in a hills race isn't the best, even if I'm his trainer.  Maybe the team could get lucky for a top 20, but I don't think so for this season.


   TIME TRIALERS:
Team Prospects:
   Team Depth:   
                                       
   Rank      Skill Score      Name      Age      Team   
   1      73.27      Kane Williams      21      Valhalla50   
   2      72.73      James Bookout      22      Danji   
   3      69.37      Alan Kelly      21      GMV_Cycling   
   5      67.51      Vic Norris      20      Valhalla50   
   18      56.44      Jonnathan White      19      fmgbest   (-3 health per race :( )
   22      54.49      Kent Byers      19      OY3   

Why do I get the feeling that this season's tune is wait until next season?  Btw, spots available for talented 19 year olds.
« Last Edit: June 07, 2014, 08:49:26 am by Aurora_Australis »